Prof. Alex Mintz
Former Provost; Former Dean
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XFormer Provost; Former Dean
EDITOR OF SPECIAL ISSUES OF JOURNALS:Editor Of Special
Editor: Symposium on Experimental Research in International
Relations (with R. McDermott), International Studies
Quarterly, June
2011
Editor of a Forum on Behavioral International Relations, International Studies Review, 2007
Editor of a Special
Issue of the Journal of Conflict Resolution on the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign
Policy Decision Making, February
2004.
Editor of Policy and the Poliheuristic Theory of
Foreign Policy Decision Making, A Symposium International Studies
Perspectives 2005
Editor: Symposium in Policy Studies Review with Gideon Doron).
Refereed Papers
Public
Policy Perspective on Group Decision Making
Dynamics in Foreign Policy. Policy Studies Journal, 2018,
46(S1), S69-S90 (with Kasey Barr).
From
Groupthink to Polythink in the Yom Kippur War Decisions of 1973. European
Review of International Studies, 2018, 5(1), 48-66 (with Itai
Schneiderman)
Russia’s
Decision to Pursue Syria’s Chemical Disarmament in 2013: A Poliheuristic
Perspective. International Journal of Peace Economics and Peace
Science, 1(2), 1-16, 2018 (with Eldad Tal-Shir).
The
Polythink Syndrome and Elite
Group Decision Making. Advances in Political
Psychology, supplementary issue of Political Psychology, January 2016
(with Carly Political Psychology: Political Psychology, June 2015 (with Eli Mograbi).
Triads
in International Relations: The Effect of Superpower Aid, Trade, and Arms
Transfers on Conflict in the Middle East. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public
Policy (with Uk Heo, 2014)
Policy
Perspectives on National Security and Foreign Policy, Policy
Studies Journal, 2013 (with Steven B.
Redd)
The Logic of Terrorist Leaders’ Decisions, Perspectives on Terrorism, 2013 (with John Tyson Chatagnier
and Yair Samban)
Experimental
Approaches to International
Relations. International
Studies Quarterly, June 2011
(with McDermott and Yang).
Methodological
Issues in Studying
Suicide Terrorism, Political
Psychology, 2009
(with David Brule)
Why
Behavioral IR? International Studies
Review, 2008
Can We Generalize from Student Experiments to the Real World in Military
Affairs, Political Science
and International Relations? Journal
of Conflict Resolution, October
2006 (with S. Redd and A.
Vedlitz)
Tactical
Prevention of Suicide Terrorism in Israel
2006. Interfaces
(an Operations Research
journal) (with Edward Kaplan and S. Mishal). November
2006.
What Happened
to Suicide Bombings in Israel:
Evidence from a Terror Stock Model (with E. Kaplan, S.
Mishal and C. Samban). Studies
in Conflict
and Terrorism February
2005
Applied Decision Analysis: Utilizing Poliheuristic Theory to
Explain and Predict
Foreign Policy and National
Security Decisions. International Studies Perspectives 2005
How
Do Leaders Make Decisions? A . Journal of Conflict
Resolution, 2004.
Foreign Policy Decision Making in Familiar and Unfamiliar Settings: An Experimental
Study of High-Ranking Military Officers. Journal
of Conflict Resolution,
2004.
Framing Effects in International
Relations (with S. Redd) Synthese, 2003
The
Effect of Dynamic
and Static Choice
Sets on Political Decision Making:
An Analysis Utilizing
the Decision Board Platform. American
Political Science Review September 1997 (with N.
Geva, S. Redd and A. Carnes).
Theories of Budgetary Tradeoffs. Public Budgeting and Financial Management 1997 (with R. Stevenson).
Defense
Expenditures and Economic
Growth in The Middle East: The Indirect
Link. Journal of Peace Research
1995 (with M.D.
Ward, J. Cohen and R. Stevenson).
Defense
Expenditures, Economic Growth and the "Peace Dividend": A Longitudinal Analysis of 103 Countries. Journal of
Conflict Resolution June 1995 (with R. Stevenson).
The Noncompensatory Principle of Coalition Formation. Journal of Theoretical
Politics 1995.
Mathematical Models of Foreign
Policy Decision Making: Compensatory vs. Noncompensatory. Synthese 1994 (with N. Geva and K. DeRouen).
Why
Don't Democracies Fight
Each Other? An Experimental Study. Journal of Conflict
Resolution 1993
(with N. Geva).
The Decision
to Attack Iraq: A Noncompensatory Theory of Decision Making. Journal of Conflict Resolution 1993.
Reprinted in G.
Goertz and H. Starr. Necessary
Conditions. Rowman Littlefield 2003.
The
Political Incentive Explanation of Democratic Peace: Evidence from Experimental Research. International Interactions 1993 (with N. Geva and K. DeRouen).
The
Experimental Analysis of the Conflict Processes Project: Preliminary Findings. International Studies
Notes 1993 (with N.Geva)
Conceptual and Methodological
Issues in Guns-Butter
Research. Policy Studies Review 1992 (with C. Huang).
Guns vs.
Butter: The Indirect Link. American
Journal of Political Science
1991 (with C. Huang).
Defense
Spending and Economic Growth: The
Externality Effect. Defence
Economics 1991 (with C.Huang)
Defense
Expenditures, Economic Growth and the Peace Dividend. American Political
Science Review 1990 (with C. Huang).
The
Political Economy of Military Spending in Israel. American Political
Science Review 1989 (with M.
Ward).
The
Evolution of Israel's
Military Expenditures: 1960-1984. Western Political Quarterly 1988 (with M.
Ward)
Guns vs.
Butter: A Disaggregated Analysis.
American Political Science Review 1988.
The
Conditional Probability Analysis
of International Events Data. American Journal of Political Science 1988 (with P. Schrodt).
Electoral
Cycles and Defense
Spending. Comparative
Political Studies 1988
The
Evolution of Israel's
Military Expenditures: 1960-1984. Western Political Quarterly 1988 (with M.
Ward)
Electoral
Cycles and Defense
Spending. Comparative
Political Studies 1988
Dynamics of Military Spending in Israel: A Computer
Simulation. Journal
of Conflict Resolution 1987
(with M. Ward).
Arms Imports as an Action-Reaction Process: An Empirical Study of Six Pairs of
Developing Nations. International Interactions 1986
The
Military-Industrial Complex:
American Concepts and Israeli
Realities. Journal of Conflict
Resolution 1985.
Reprinted in B.M Russett, H. Starr and R. Stoll
(eds.), Choices
in World Politics. Freeman 1989.
Arms Exports
as an
Action-Reaction Process. Jerusalem Journal of International Relations 1986
Arms Production in Israel: Civilianization of the Military or Militarization of Society? Jerusalem Quarterly 1986
Military-Industrial
Linkages in Israel. Armed Forces
and Society 1985
Military
Keynesianism in
the United States: 1949-1976:
Disaggregating Military Expenditures and Their
Determination. American Journal of Sociology 1984 (with A. Hicks).
The
Military-Industrial Complex:
The Israeli Case. Journal of
Strategic Studies 1983
A Validation Study of Computer Simulation Models. Conflict
Management and Peace Science 1983
Methodological
and Theoretical
Oversight in Military
Keynesianism: Comment.
American Journal of Sociology
1986 (with A. Hicks)
Defense Budgeting in the
U.S.: An Empirical Explanation of Non-Incremental Procurement Spending.
State, Government and International
Relations 1983. (Hebrew).
Contributions to Handbooks and Encyclopedia
Poliheuristic
Theory, Applied Decision Analysis and Group Decision Making. In the Oxford
Encyclopedia of Political Decision Making (with J. T. Chatagnier), Oxford
University Press, 2020.
The Poliheuristic
Theory of Decision in Crisis Situations. In Oxford Encyclopedia of Crisis
Analysis (with I. Hakman), (forthcoming), Oxford University Press.
Did Groupthink or Polythink Derail the 2016 Raqqa Offensive? The Impact
of Group Dynamics on Strategic and Tactical Decision Making (with K. Barr),
2019. In Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Political Science. Oxford
University Press.
Decision
Making Theories in Foreign Policy Analysis (with A. Sofrin), Oxford Handbook
of Leadership, Oxford University Press, 2017.
From Groupthink to Polythink: U.S. Decisions
in Iraq, Handbook of Conflict Resolution (Peter Coleman
and Morton Deutsch, co-editors).
Wiley. January 2014 (with C.
Wayne)
Political Decision Making. Oxford Handbook
on Political
Leadership (Paul ‘t Hart et al, editors).
(with David Brule),
2014, Oxford University
Press.
Political
Psychology. International Encyclopedia of Political Communication, 2014-2015, (with Julia
Elad)
The Poliheuristic theory of Decision Encyclopedia of the International Studies Association, 2012 (with Steven Redd).
Decision Making Models, Encyclopedia of the International Studies Association (with David Brule and Karl
DeRouen) 2012
Chapters
How Do
Leaders Make Decisions? Evidence from
the East (with E. Tal-Shir), 2019. In How Do Leaders Make Decisions?
Evidence from the East and West Part B
Poliheuristic Theory in Strategic Interaction
(with E. Tal-Shir). Forthcoming in Oxford Handbook of Behavioral
Political Science. Oxford University Press.
The Decision
Calculus of Khalad Mashal (with L. Freedman, T. Chatagnier and Y. Samban), 2019.
In How Do Leaders Make Decisions? Evidence from the East and West Part B.
Emerald.
Introduction:
How Do Leaders Make Decisions? An Applied Decision Analysis Account (with E.
Tal-Shir). 2019. In How Do Leaders Make Decisions? Evidence from the East
and West, Part A, Emerald Publications.
The
Poliheuristic Theory of Political Decision Making (with S. Redd and E.
Tal-Shir). 2018. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics.
Oxford University Press.
תקווה ישראלית בסדר הישראלי החדש: מחזון
למציאות. המלצות לנשיא המדינה. הרצליה: יוזמת ישראליות משותפת, 2016
מינץ, אלכס 2017. סדר לאומי חדש לישראל: סיכויים וסיכונים במציאת מורכבת ומשתנה. בתוך: א. מינץ (עורך), ישראליות משותפת: אסופת מאמרים. הרצליה, יוזמת הישראליות
המשותפת.
וייצמן, חיים ומינץ, אלכס. תקווה ישראלית: חזון או חלום? בתוך: ישראל לאן? תובנות כנס
הרצליה 2016 הרצליה: המרכז הבינתחומי, יוזמת הישראליות
המשותפת.
מינץ, אלכס ואלישע, חן 2016. סקר ארבעת השבטים. הרצליה: המכון למדיניות
ואסטרטגיה, המרכז הבינתחומי.
מינץ, אלכס 2016. ארבעת השבטים, ממצא סקר בנושאים מדיניים. בתוך: א' מינץ (עורך), ישראליות משותפת: אסופת מאמרים. הרצליה: יוזמת הישראליות
המשותפת.
מינץ אלכס, וייצמן חיים, סלונים אורי, אלישע חן ולוריה
תום. 2017. מדדי ארבעת השבטים. הרצליה: יוזמת ישראליות
משותפת.
Mintz, A. and
Y. Ganel. 2012. Israel’s Policy Options. In Y.
Alpher (ed.), The Arab Peace Initiative, BL press
Iran: The Day
After Simulation. 2011, POPDM (with L.
Terris and I. Hackman), Blank Check or Marching Orders? Public Opinion
and the Presidential Use of
Force. In H. Starr (ed.) Crossing Boundaries (with D.
Brule), 2006.
Being Bin Laden: Utilizing
Applied Decision Analysis to Explain and Forecast Terrorists’ Decisions.
In A. Pedahzur (ed), Root Causes of
Suicide Terrorism. Taylor and Francis
(with
D. Brule
and T. J. Chatagnier), 2006.
The
Method-of-Analysis Problem
in
International Relations. In A. Mintz
and
B. M. Russett (eds.),
New
Directions for International Relations:
Confronting the Method-of-Analysis Problem. , 2005.
E-Government in Israel and Western Democracies. In U. Reichman and D. Nachmias (eds). Israel:
The Next Five Decades
2006.
Are Leaders Susceptible to Negative Political
Information? An Experimental Study of High Ranking Military
Officers. In A. Mintz and B. Russett (eds.) New Directions for International Relations:
Confronting the Method-of-Analysis
Problem. Lexington Books, 2005.
Experiments and Simulations. In Z. Maoz et al
(eds.). Multiple
Paths to Knowledge: Methodology
in Conflict Management and Conflict Resolution. Lexington,
2004.
Integrating the “Rational” and “Cognitive” in Foreign Policy
Decision Making. In A. Mintz (ed.) Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of
Foreign Policy Decision Making. St. Martin’s/Palgrave, 2002.
Theory Integration in Foreign
Policy Analysis: Directions
for Future Research. In A. Mintz
(ed.) Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of
Foreign Policy Decision Making, 2002.
A Prospect
Based Analysis of War Termination. In B. Mor
and F. Harvey (eds.) Conflict Escalation
and Termination (with N.
Geva), Macmillan, 1998.
Foreign Policy Decision Making: Bridging the
Gap Between the Cognitive Psychology and Rational
Actor Schools. In N. Geva
and A. Mintz (eds.) Decision
Making on War and Peace: The Cognitive-Rational
Debate. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1997.
Decision
Making on War and Peace:
Challenges for Future Research. In N. Geva and A. Mintz (eds.)
Decision Making on
War
and Peace: The
Cognitive-Rational Debate. Boulder, CO: Lynne
Rienner Publishers, 1997 (with N.
Geva and S. Redd).
The
Poliheuristic Theory of
Foreign Policy Decision Making. In N. Geva and A. Mintz
(eds.) Decision Making on
War and Peace: The Cognitive-Rational
Debate. Boulder,
CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1997(with
N. Geva).
Marketing the Peace Process in the Middle East:
The Effectiveness of Thematic and Evaluative Framing
in Jordan and Israel. In M.
Chatterji, J. Fontanel
and A. Hattori (eds.) Arms Spending, Development and Security 1996 (with N.
Geva and A. Astorino).
Armament and Development:
An Empirical Assessment of the Impact of Military Spending on
Economic Growth in Developing Countries. In M. Chatterji (ed.) The Economics of International Security: Essays in Honor of
Jan Tinbergen 1994
(with R. Stevenson).
The Dual Economy and Arab-Israeli Use of Force. In S. Chan
and A. Mintz (eds.) Defense, Welfare
and Growth. London:
Routledge, 1992 (with Bruce M. Russett).
Defense
Spending and Economic Performance: A Disaggregated Analysis.
In S. Chan and A. Mintz
(eds.) Defense, Welfare and Growth. London:
Routledge, 1992 (with C. Huang
and
U. Heo)
Political
Economy and National
Security. In A. Mintz
(ed.) The Political Economy of Military Spending in
the United States. London: Routledge,
1992.
Electoral Cycles and Defense Spending: An Analysis of Quarterly Data. In A. Ross
(ed.). The Political Economy of Defense.
Greenwood Press,
1991 (with M.D. Ward)
Defense
Spending in Israel. In T. Sandler
(ed.) The Economics of Defense
Spending: An International Survey. London: Routledge,
1990 (with S. Bichler and M.D. Ward)
Supplier’s
Control and Recipient’s Autonomy: The Case of Israel. In C.I. Moon et al
(eds.) The Dilemma of Third World
Defense Industries. Boulder,
CO: Westview Press, 1988 (with G. Steinberg)
Distributional
Patterns of Regional Interactions:
A Test of the Poisson Process as
a Null Model. In C. Cioffi-Revilla, R. L Merritt and D.A. Zinnes (eds.) Communications and Interactions in World Politics.
Sage Publishers, 1987 (with P.A. Schrodt).
A Formal
Model of Defense Budgeting in
Israel. In M.D. Ward (ed.) Theories,
Models and Simulations
in International
Relations. Boulder, CO: Westview
press, 1985
AWARDS
Lifetime Achievement Award, 2019, Israeli Political Science
Association
Alexander George
Best Book award, 2017, International Society of Political Psychology
Distinguished Scholar Award, International Studies Association
(Foreign Policy Analysis
Section) 2005, for distinguished accomplishments and contributions to research
Karl Deutsch Award, 1993, given
to the scholar under 40 who has
made the most important contribution in the world to the study of
International Relations, International
Studies Association
Aaron
Wildavsky Book Award, Policy Studies Association, 1997
Along with four Nobel Laureates in Economics (Professors Arrow, Sen,
McFadden and Klein) named to the
Advisory Board of the Center for Conflict Management and Prevention in Sydney, 2005
EDITORIAL APPOINTMENTS
Member, Editorial Board
of the American Political Science
Review, 2013-2017
Editor-in-Chief, Political Psychology, 2010-
2015
Founding co-editor, Foreign Policy Analysis, 2004-2009
Associate Editor, Journal of Conflict Resolution,
2005-2009
Member, Editorial
Board, International Studies Quarterly, 2009-2012
Member,
Editorial Board, International Studies Perspectives, 2009-present
Member,
Editorial Board, Foreign Policy Analysis, 2009-2016
Member, Editorial
Board, Advances in Political Psychology,
2013-present
Editor, The University of Chicago Press
Book Series in Leadership and Decision Making in the International
Arena. 2010-2012Associate Editor, Research and Politics,
2013-2018
Member, Editorial Board,
Open Political Science Journal, 2009-presentEditor, Book Series on Advances in Foreign
Policy Analysis, Palgrave Macmillan 2003-2010Member, Advisory Board, Book Series, Contribution to Peace Science and Peace
Economics (2014 - present)
Member, Advisory Board, Mahatma Gandhi Institute for
Conflict Prevention, India 2001-2004
Member, Governing Board, Korean Association of Public
Policy, 2003-2005
President, Economist for Peace and Security (EPS)-Israel 1996-present
Distinguished Associate, Martin
Institute, University of
Idaho 1999-2007
Board Member, Center for Continuous Auditing,
Mays Business School, TAMU, 2001-2004
Board Member, Military
Studies Institute, 1986-1988
Senior Fellow, UN Studies,
Yale University, 2003-2005