The rejection of President Trump’s ultimatum and ongoing U.S.-Iranian talks leave the campaign against Iran at a crossroads. It would appear that the U.S. President’s approach provides him with two options – reaching an agreement that would end the war, or escalating to a ground offensive that would open the Strait of Hormuz. The implication could be a landslide that would upend the regional system and lead to a global energy crisis, reflecting on the U.S. domestic arena too.

On Israel’s northern front there is growing concern that ending the war with Iran would lead to suspending the fight against Hizballah, which continues to maintain significant firing capabilities.

What would the implications of an agreement be for Israel in the absence of clearcut developments such as the toppling of the Iranian regime and elimination of the threat posed by Hizballah?

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