Economic Implications of the War 2023-2026

  • Economic Challenges 2025–2035: Security and Diplomatic Scenarios

    Zvi Eckstein, Benny Bental, Sani Ziv, Sarit Menahem-Carmi, Sergei Sumkin, Idit Kalisher

    This analysis examines the impact of security and political developments, with an emphasis on the fighting in Gaza, on Israel’s economic resilience between 2025–2035. It presents three short-term and four long-term scenarios, highlighting the economic risks of occupying Gaza versus the benefits of growth-supporting reforms in ensuring stability and growth

  • Updated Macroeconomic Forecast – Aaron Institute for Economic Policy

    Zvi Eckstein, Benny Bental, Sarit Menahem-Carmi, Sergei Sumkin, Idit Kalisher

    In this paper, we present an update of the growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 in light of the prolonged conflict, particularly in the north, as well as policy recommendations aimed at stabilizing the economy and mitigating economic risks.

  • The Impact of the War on Israel’s Arab Society and the Necessary Policy Measures

    Marian Tehawkho, Amit Loewenthal and Ayala Partush

    This policy paper underscores the significance of economic resilience in Israel's Arab society and addresses disparities between Jewish and Arab citizens. It proposes measures to enhance economic prospects and trust in government institutions, benefiting both Arab society and Israel overall.

  • Effects of the War on Israel’s Haredi Society

    Hila Axelrad, Sarit Menahem-Carmi, Itschak Trachtengot and Tom Sadeh

    This paper delves into the economic analysis of the war's impact on Israel's economy, particularly examining how the macroeconomic shifts resonate within Haredi society. Through this exploration, it aims to shed light on the multifaceted implications of the ongoing war on the Haredi population.

  • The Effects of the War on the Israeli Economy And Necessary Policy Measures

    Zvi Eckstein, Sarit Menahem-Carmi, Sergei Sumkin, Idit Kalisher

    his paper outlines the impacts of the October Seventh War on the Israeli economy and puts forth recommended policy measures, with a particular focus on the implications for the 2024 budget.